Because I can't do better than the thoughtful and well-written baseball previews elsewhere on these interwebs, I'll give you three sets of my predictions. First, my entry in Baseball Prospectus's Predictatron contest (win totals for each team plus a "lock" in each league, with playoff results). Second, my entry in BP's HACKING MASS contest (choosing the players who will suck the most without getting benched). Third, what I would wager on, were I in Las Vegas looking up at the big board.
Predictatron
Note: '<--' denotes division winner, '<~' denotes wild card winner, '***' denotes mortal lock pick
American League East
New York Yankees 94 - 68 <--
Boston Red Sox 93 - 69 <~
Toronto Blue Jays 84 - 78
Tampa Bay Devil Rays 80 - 82
Baltimore Orioles 75 - 87
American League Central
Cleveland Indians 89 - 73 <--
Minnesota Twins 86 - 76
Detroit Tigers 84 - 78
Chicago White Sox 81 - 81
Kansas City Royals 69 - 93
American League West
Anaheim Angels 92 - 70 <--
Oakland Athletics 82 - 80
Texas Rangers 73 - 89
Seattle Mariners 72 - 90 ***
National League East
New York Mets 90 - 72 <--
Philadelphia Phillies 87 - 75 <~
Atlanta Braves 84 - 78
Florida Marlins 80 - 82
Washington Nationals 61 - 101
National League Central
St. Louis Cardinals 87 - 75 <--
Chicago Cubs 85 - 77
Milwaukee Brewers 80 - 82
Cincinnati Reds 76 - 86
Houston Astros 72 - 90 ***
Pittsburgh Pirates 68 - 94
National League West
Arizona Diamondbacks 90 - 72 <--
San Diego Padres 84 - 78
Los Angeles Dodgers 83 - 79
San Francisco Giants 75 - 87
Colorado Rockies 74 - 88
PLAYOFFS American League Division Series:
Anaheim Angels over Boston Red Sox in 5 games
New York Yankees over Cleveland Indians in 3 games
National League Division Series:
New York Mets over St. Louis Cardinals in 4 games
Arizona Diamondbacks over Philadelphia Phillies in 4 games
American League Championship Series:
Anaheim Angels over New York Yankees in 5 games
National League Championship Series:
New York Mets over Arizona Diamondbacks in 6 games
World Series:
New York Mets over Anaheim Angels in 6 games (¡Vamos Los Mets!)
HACKING MASS
Catcher - Brad Ausmus (Astros)
First Base - Scott Thorman (Braves)
Second Base - Placido Polanco (Tigers)
Third Base - Nick Punto (Twins)
Shortstop - Tony Pena (Royals)
Left Field - Scott Podsednik (White Sox)
Center Field - Willy Tavares (Rockies)
Right Field - Randy Winn (Giants)
Pitcher 1 - Eric Milton (Reds)
Pitcher 2 - Gil Meche (Royals)
Hypothetical Wagering Opportunities
Team Win Totals
Diamondbacks over 80.5 wins (-135)
Mariners under 78.5 wins (-110)
Dodgers under 87.5 wins (even)
White Sox under 86 wins (-115)
Devil Rays over 67.5 wins (-115)
Player Props
Takashi Saito under 35.5 saves (-125)
Mariano Rivera under 37 saves (-115)
Trevor Hoffman under 37.5 saves (-120)
Johnny Damon under 177.5 hits (-115)
Ichiro Suzuki under 215.5 hits (-115)
Jim Thome under 33.5 home runs (-115)
Alex Rodriguez under 38.5 home runs (+110)
Todd Helton to lead MLB in home runs (200-1)
Nick Swisher to lead MLB in home runs (100-1)
Jason Bay to lead MLB in home runs (100-1)
Chase Utley to lead MLB in home runs (100-1)
Good luck!
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